Poland is a Collateral Victim of Russian Escalation

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This is what we are referring to when we talk about the catastrophic scenarios imagined since the beginning of the Russian invasion of Ukraine: a missile hitting the territory of a NATO country. And this is what happened on the evening of November 15 in przeod It is a fact that is unprecedented, not only since the beginning of this war, but also in history: even at the height of East-West tensions, no NATO territory had ever been hit.

The concern is very strong, but it does not seem, according to the available information, that it is an action by Moscow to hit Polish territory, a fact that would lead to an escalation. NATO countries met today on the basis of Article 4 of the Atlantic Charter, which provides for consultations; it is not Article 5 that guarantees automatic solidarity of the other member countries in the event of an attack on one of them.

So there will be a reaction, one way or another, if only to reaffirm the reality of the deterrence guaranteed by the alliance; but the United States and its allies will be careful not to go too far. But the warning is strong: it shows how escalation and then widening of war can begin.

Putin’s voluntary absence from Bali was already a harbinger of this isolation

Meanwhile, an important page in the history of the war in Ukraine was written on November 14 between Bali and Kiev, between the tropical island where the G20 summit is underway and the Ukrainian cities again hit by a shower of Russian missiles. A day that began with the declaration of Volod Zel

In Bali, Putin found himself more isolated than he has ever been since he made the fateful decision to invade Ukraine on February 24. His voluntary absence from this summit at which he would nevertheless, in principle, have several friendly countries, was already a harbinger of this Russian isolation.

China and India, which have so far refused to condemn the invasion of Ukraine, have distanced themselves from it in Bali, and we will see how this will be expressed in the final declaration of today’s summit.

At stake at the G20, after nine months of conflict, is the possibility of whether the countries of the south will remain anchored to their neutrality, benevolent towards Russia and hostile towards the West. Apparently Putin’s defeats are convincing his friends that one must avoid sinking with Moscow.


As for Zelensk’s offer of negotiation, the Russian response came in two steps: initially Serge Lav Lavrov, Russian foreign minister representing Putin in Bali, called the conditions set by the Ukrainian president “unrealistic”.

It must be admitted that zelensk posto has placed conditions of peace that seem to be those of a Russian capitulation: withdrawal of Moscow’s troops, return to Ukrainian territorial integrity and war reparations, so no compromise that would allow the Russian army to regroup.

Zelensk voluto wanted to demonstrate, at the request of the Americans, that he was open to negotiations. But he knows that his army and population are not willing to give up anything after what Ukraine has suffered for nine months. Yesterday’s hundred missiles will not change his mind; especially after what happened in Poland.

(Translated by Andrea Sparacino)

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